Quality or Complexion? Experience and Skin Tone as Determinants of Electoral Success in Mexico

Objective: Recent research suggest that skin color discrimination influences electoral outcomes. This article tests the empirical robustness and generalizability of these findings, incorporating candidates¿ quality as an alternative explanation for electoral success. Methods: We examine data from the 2024 General Election in Mexico. In addition to the variables considered by others before (i.e., human-coded complexion, incumbency, college degree, sex, age, party), we include one machine-coded skin tone measure, education level and, notably, disaggregate experience variables (government, legislative, and partisan). Results: Our results indicate little, if any, support for the idea that skin tone is a significant predictor for electoral outcomes in Mexico. Conversely, legislative experience and partisanship appear to be the most significant determinants of electoral success. Conclusions: Rather than disproving the existence of skin tone discrimination in Mexico, our findings reveal that electoral contests are not the best site to test the political salience of skin color in Mexico. © 2025 The Author(s). Social Science Quarterly published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Southwestern Social Science Association.